本文源自:智通财经网
智通财经APP获悉，推动矿山开采的绿色化大势所趋，随着动力电池与电驱动系统技术的不断提升，动力电池成本的持续下降，矿卡电动化趋势将进一步加快。矿卡电动化的推进，动力电池出货量也将持续增长。据高工产业研究院(GGII)测算，若矿卡完全实现电动化，考虑到技术路线因素，预计将产生7.5GWh的动力电池需求;若全为纯电动矿卡，考虑到换电矿卡的存在，潜在动力电池需求将达到15GWh以上。
2023年我国矿卡电动化率仅7%左右
矿区的绿色化目前已经成为一个全球性问题。近几年，国内市场在绿色矿山建设背景推动下，新能源矿卡销量持续提升，其中90%以上是百吨级矿卡。据高工产业研究院(GGII)调研统计，2021-2023年中国百吨级新能源矿卡销量分别是232辆、1205辆、1984辆，年复合增长率接近200%。
而在全球市场，受限于核心部件的高成本以及技术限制，矿卡电动化率仍处于起步阶段，全球新能源矿卡基本集中在中国/澳大利亚等少数国家，尤其中国市场，目前占据了全球新能源矿卡销量的80%以上。尽管近两年中国矿卡电动化率提升明显，但与我国新能源汽车超过30%的电动化率相比，矿卡电动化仍任重道远。
电动矿卡市场参与者越来越多
新能源矿卡主要分为纯电动、混动以及氢燃料电池三种技术路线，其中纯电动是起步最早，研发时间最长的技术路线。混动矿卡大规模推出于2023年。氢燃料电池矿卡仍处于研发和示范应用阶段。
据高工产业研究院(GGII)不完全统计，目前新能源矿卡市场参与者超30家，2023年销量较大的企业有临工重机、宇通矿卡、徐工矿机、同力股份、三一矿机、宏威、诺浩、博雷顿等;其中，宇通矿卡和临工重机销量分别领跑纯电矿卡和混动矿卡赛道。
矿卡电动化核心在动力电池及电驱动系统
目前影响矿卡电动化率的除了高昂的购置成本，还与其核心部件动力电池及驱动系统技术现状有关。纯电动矿卡在重载上坡等复杂工况下，一方面不具备能量回收的优势，另一方面重载上等复杂工况对动力需求大，当前动力电池能量密度难以满足，而频繁充电或换电会缩短有效运营时间，严重影响作业。
此外，在重载情况下，纯电矿卡换挡容易因电驱动系统问题，导致动力中断而出现溜车险情，电驱动系统还会影响到矿卡的动力性能、对场景的适应性等。因此，纯电动矿卡通常在砂石骨料等重载下坡场景中使用，在北方煤矿山等作业工况较为复杂的场景主要使用混动矿卡。
矿卡用动力电池及电驱动系统市场集中度高
目前，新能源矿卡用动力电池及核心电驱动系统供应商主要来自行业技术较领先的企业。动力电池方面，主要矿卡动力电池供应商为宁德时代，2011-2023年在矿卡用动力电池市场，宁德时代(300750.SZ)市场份额一直稳定在70%以上。其他参与者还有国轩高科(002074.SZ)、微宏动力、力神等。
电驱动系统方面，主要供应商有凯博易控、法士特、特百佳与苏州绿控等，其中凯博易控近两年市场份额占比均超过50%，位居行业第一位。
领取最新办卡资费，添加 微信：sjzqb888 备注：办卡！
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